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Update Date: 2008/12/07 07:30 Compiled by Lin Yanyu/Report
According to the UK Met Office's forecast, this year will be the year with the lowest average global temperature in nearly a decade, at 14.3 degrees Celsius, 0.14 degrees lower than the average from 2001 to 2007. However, don't think that the effects of global warming have disappeared. Data from the UK Met Office shows that 2008 is still the 10th hottest year on record, just slightly cooler than previous years due to the influence of La Niña.
Met Office expert Stott stated that this is "absolutely not" evidence of a weakening impact of global warming, "If we want to understand climate change, we need to look at long-term trends."
Professor Myles Allen from Oxford University expressed concern that climate change skeptics might overinterpret this figure. He said, "This year isn't really cold, it's just that people have short memories and have gotten used to the warmth of the past few years."
Allen pointed out that for 19th-century British author Charles Dickens, 2008 would also be considered sweltering. At that time, there was only a one percent chance of it being as hot as it is today; however, the chance of experiencing a climate as cold as this year is now about one in ten.
The Guardian reported that as early as the beginning of the year, UK meteorologists predicted that due to the influence of La Niña, the temperature of the equatorial Pacific would drop unusually, making this year cooler than the past few years, which is just a small part of the El Niño climate cycle. Meteorologists estimated the annual average temperature at that time to be 14.37 degrees Celsius.
The current estimated average temperature for this year (14.3 degrees Celsius) is based on temperatures from January to October. When the Met Office officially announces next week, it will include November's temperature data. Stott said, "We expect the figure to rise, not fall," "but the difference is not significant."
The UK Met Office stated that 1998, strongly influenced by El Niño, set the highest global average temperature on record, followed by 2005, 2003, and 2002.
In March of this year, a group of climate experts from Kiel University said that natural variations would make the 0.3-degree Celsius global warming estimated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change over the next decade difficult to detect. They said temperatures would accelerate sharply after 2015.
Source: http://tw. news. yahoo. com/ article/ url/ d/ a/ 081207/ 2/ 1aqmj. html
Earth's Coldest Decade: 2008
According to the UK Met Office's forecast, this year will be the year with the lowest average global temperature in nearly a decade, at 14.3 degrees Celsius, 0.14 degrees lower than the average from 2001 to 2007. However, don't think that the effects of global warming have disappeared. Data from the UK Met Office shows that 2008 is still the 10th hottest year on record, just slightly cooler than previous years due to the influence of La Niña.
Met Office expert Stott stated that this is "absolutely not" evidence of a weakening impact of global warming, "If we want to understand climate change, we need to look at long-term trends."
Professor Myles Allen from Oxford University expressed concern that climate change skeptics might overinterpret this figure. He said, "This year isn't really cold, it's just that people have short memories and have gotten used to the warmth of the past few years."
Allen pointed out that for 19th-century British author Charles Dickens, 2008 would also be considered sweltering. At that time, there was only a one percent chance of it being as hot as it is today; however, the chance of experiencing a climate as cold as this year is now about one in ten.
The Guardian reported that as early as the beginning of the year, UK meteorologists predicted that due to the influence of La Niña, the temperature of the equatorial Pacific would drop unusually, making this year cooler than the past few years, which is just a small part of the El Niño climate cycle. Meteorologists estimated the annual average temperature at that time to be 14.37 degrees Celsius.
The current estimated average temperature for this year (14.3 degrees Celsius) is based on temperatures from January to October. When the Met Office officially announces next week, it will include November's temperature data. Stott said, "We expect the figure to rise, not fall," "but the difference is not significant."
The UK Met Office stated that 1998, strongly influenced by El Niño, set the highest global average temperature on record, followed by 2005, 2003, and 2002.
In March of this year, a group of climate experts from Kiel University said that natural variations would make the 0.3-degree Celsius global warming estimated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change over the next decade difficult to detect. They said temperatures would accelerate sharply after 2015.
Source: http://tw. news. yahoo. com/ article/ url/ d/ a/ 081207/ 2/ 1aqmj. html